Friday, July 3, 2009

Obama only seeks regime change for friendly governments

http://tinyurl.com/mcg7r2
Washington: Weakened Ahmadinejad may seek military adventures DEBKAfile June 28, 2009
Two fundamental conceptions underpinning the Obama administration's Middle East policies have been swept away by the upheaval in Iran....direct or even multilateral nuclear negotiations with Iran have vanished in the distance - for one, and the premise that progress on the Palestinian peace front is the key to a breakthrough with Iran is another...turmoil in Tehran has demonstrated that any connection between internal unrest in the Islamic republic, its nuclear program and the Israel-Palestinian issue is contrived.
Still, White House officials, who refuse to publicly admit they were wrong, continue to pressure the Netanyahu government to freeze all settlement construction as though it were relevant to their Middle East woes. Now, they have decided that Binyamin Netanyahu is weak enough to be squeezed into surrendering and the Obama administration can then claim a big Middle East success....White House thinking...speculating that should Netanyahu venture to defy the US, his coalition government is too fragile to survive a breach with Israel's foremost ally, he would be pushed out and succeeded by defense minster Ehud Barak....settlement...controversy is more political than territorial....the Obama administration has blown it up more to undermine Netanyahu than to placate the Arabs.
...ahead of Barak's arrival Monday, June 29, to iron out the settlement controversy between the Israeli and US governments...meant to signal Netanyahu that any understanding his defense minister might achieve with the Americans would not serve the prime minister but be fodder for his political rivals. This approach was designed mainly by the White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel who now argues that the failure to corner Netanyahu on the settlement issue will dent the Obama administration credibility in Arab eyes.****Rahm undermined Netanyahu before on behalf of the Clinton administration.**** ...the Iranian scarecrow is now replaced by an Arab bogyman for brandishing in front of Netanyahu.Washington and Jerusalem share the fear that Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's humiliation and diminished status at home may well goad him into embarking on a dangerous military adventure against Israel or US targets...it makes sense for the United States to strengthen the informal Saudi-Egyptian-Israeli connection as a bulwark against wild Iranian ideas. This...brainchild of Barak, has been enthusiastically embraced by the prime minister. They are entirely of one mind on this policy. Therefore, the White House's presumption that the defense minister can be turned against Netanyahu makes no sense in Israeli terms....it looks suspiciously as though the Obama White House anti-settlement drive has become a two-pronged campaign to undercut Netanyahu's position at home and assemble a new set of principles – or at least a strategy - to replace the president's engagement policy which Ahmadinejad blocked in his weekend slanging match with the US president.****Cover up the doom of the stupid "engagement" policy with the anti-settlement policy and get regime change in Israel.****

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